Race 7B

yale-women-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Lucia Loosbrock 6.4% 5.5% 6.6% 7.5% 7.4% 8.1% 9.1% 7.3% 9.0% 7.4% 6.5% 6.7% 6.7% 3.4% 2.4%
Emily Alfortish 6.6% 5.6% 8.9% 7.2% 10.1% 8.6% 7.9% 8.3% 6.9% 8.2% 6.5% 6.0% 4.9% 3.5% 0.8%
Marina Conde 6.8% 6.9% 7.1% 7.8% 7.3% 7.6% 8.2% 9.1% 8.7% 8.3% 8.5% 5.7% 4.7% 2.5% 0.8%
Karya Basaraner 5.7% 4.5% 5.4% 8.0% 6.4% 8.2% 7.6% 6.5% 9.1% 9.2% 7.8% 7.7% 7.2% 3.6% 3.1%
Audrey Foley 8.5% 9.9% 8.6% 6.8% 8.5% 9.2% 8.8% 9.2% 8.3% 5.4% 5.9% 4.9% 3.6% 2.1% 0.3%
Ava Farley 3.8% 4.7% 4.6% 5.3% 4.6% 6.7% 5.3% 7.5% 9.1% 9.3% 10.9% 8.6% 9.1% 6.6% 3.9%
Cordelia Burn 15.2% 13.6% 13.1% 13.5% 10.2% 8.3% 7.9% 5.8% 4.3% 3.4% 2.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Laura Hamilton 17.5% 17.9% 12.2% 12.2% 11.1% 8.3% 6.4% 5.7% 3.3% 1.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
bella casaretto 14.1% 16.3% 12.8% 9.2% 11.3% 9.5% 8.7% 6.5% 4.3% 4.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Ariana Schwartz 1.6% 1.4% 1.5% 2.0% 1.0% 2.2% 3.5% 4.1% 4.2% 5.1% 7.0% 6.8% 11.4% 16.7% 31.5%
Ava Cornell 3.4% 4.3% 5.0% 4.8% 6.7% 5.0% 6.8% 6.2% 7.8% 8.3% 8.5% 10.3% 8.6% 8.8% 5.5%
Avery Canavan 4.1% 2.5% 4.5% 6.6% 6.3% 6.4% 5.8% 8.2% 7.5% 10.0% 9.2% 9.1% 8.1% 7.6% 4.1%
Maisie MacGillivray 2.4% 2.9% 4.1% 3.5% 3.0% 4.8% 5.7% 5.6% 5.6% 6.7% 8.9% 12.2% 10.8% 12.3% 11.5%
Ella Towner 1.9% 2.1% 2.2% 2.8% 2.9% 4.2% 4.6% 5.9% 5.6% 6.1% 6.6% 10.1% 12.6% 16.5% 15.9%
Esme Gonzalez 2.0% 1.9% 3.4% 2.8% 3.2% 2.9% 3.7% 4.1% 6.3% 6.8% 7.7% 8.9% 10.3% 15.8% 20.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.