Race 8B

yale-women-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Cordelia Burn 16.4% 15.7% 12.6% 10.7% 9.6% 9.3% 7.9% 5.3% 4.5% 3.1% 2.1% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Laura Hamilton 18.9% 17.2% 16.1% 10.6% 8.8% 8.2% 6.8% 5.9% 2.3% 2.7% 1.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Emily Alfortish 6.4% 6.4% 7.5% 7.8% 7.1% 7.8% 8.4% 8.6% 8.3% 8.9% 7.9% 6.2% 5.1% 2.8% 0.8%
Ava Farley 3.3% 4.1% 4.6% 5.7% 7.2% 6.0% 6.8% 7.5% 8.1% 7.4% 9.0% 9.6% 7.5% 7.8% 5.4%
Audrey Foley 8.5% 9.7% 7.4% 6.8% 10.2% 8.6% 9.7% 8.3% 9.2% 6.7% 4.6% 3.7% 4.1% 2.3% 0.2%
Avery Canavan 3.5% 5.5% 5.0% 5.9% 5.0% 6.7% 6.4% 7.6% 8.9% 9.1% 9.4% 10.1% 8.0% 5.9% 3.0%
bella casaretto 14.2% 14.7% 11.7% 12.1% 11.5% 10.1% 7.3% 5.7% 4.8% 2.8% 2.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Marina Conde 7.2% 5.9% 7.4% 8.0% 7.2% 8.0% 9.0% 8.6% 7.2% 8.8% 7.3% 6.4% 4.4% 3.4% 1.2%
Karya Basaraner 5.3% 4.1% 5.5% 7.2% 8.0% 7.8% 8.3% 8.1% 8.9% 8.5% 8.4% 7.7% 6.3% 4.3% 1.6%
Ariana Schwartz 1.5% 1.1% 1.9% 2.0% 1.7% 2.1% 3.6% 3.5% 4.1% 4.4% 6.7% 7.8% 10.4% 17.3% 31.9%
Ava Cornell 3.7% 4.1% 4.9% 4.9% 5.5% 6.6% 5.5% 6.8% 7.4% 10.0% 8.1% 8.7% 9.9% 8.2% 5.7%
Lucia Loosbrock 4.8% 4.6% 5.8% 8.9% 7.6% 6.2% 7.1% 8.6% 9.1% 8.8% 8.8% 7.0% 5.8% 5.3% 1.6%
Ella Towner 1.9% 1.8% 2.5% 2.8% 4.2% 3.0% 3.0% 5.5% 5.3% 6.0% 7.1% 10.2% 12.2% 15.3% 19.2%
Maisie MacGillivray 2.7% 2.5% 4.3% 3.7% 3.6% 6.2% 5.8% 6.1% 5.0% 7.8% 9.6% 9.1% 13.5% 11.3% 8.8%
Esme Gonzalez 1.7% 2.6% 2.8% 2.9% 2.8% 3.4% 4.4% 3.9% 6.9% 5.0% 7.2% 9.6% 11.1% 15.1% 20.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.