Race 12B

yale-women-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Lucia Loosbrock 6.3% 6.6% 6.2% 8.6% 6.3% 8.4% 8.0% 6.8% 7.7% 8.2% 8.2% 6.1% 4.7% 4.7% 3.2%
bella casaretto 14.5% 14.7% 13.1% 12.3% 10.3% 8.5% 7.0% 6.2% 6.0% 3.0% 2.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Ava Cornell 3.8% 4.2% 5.1% 4.7% 6.0% 5.6% 6.4% 6.8% 8.3% 8.2% 8.9% 8.6% 9.2% 9.4% 4.8%
Emily Alfortish 5.9% 7.1% 6.8% 7.0% 9.2% 6.3% 9.2% 8.8% 7.6% 7.5% 6.6% 7.0% 5.6% 3.5% 1.9%
Cordelia Burn 14.6% 14.7% 10.9% 11.3% 11.9% 9.1% 8.7% 5.5% 4.0% 3.6% 2.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Laura Hamilton 17.2% 15.2% 15.3% 12.2% 10.5% 8.7% 6.7% 5.5% 3.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Audrey Foley 8.7% 7.7% 8.8% 9.0% 8.2% 11.2% 8.5% 9.0% 7.2% 7.4% 4.6% 4.5% 2.7% 2.0% 0.5%
Marina Conde 6.0% 6.2% 8.1% 8.0% 7.8% 7.2% 7.4% 8.9% 7.0% 8.8% 8.6% 6.7% 4.3% 3.2% 1.8%
Maisie MacGillivray 2.6% 2.2% 3.9% 3.6% 4.4% 4.1% 5.3% 7.0% 6.7% 7.8% 9.3% 10.5% 11.1% 10.9% 10.6%
Esme Gonzalez 2.0% 1.6% 1.9% 2.6% 3.3% 3.2% 4.0% 4.3% 5.7% 6.7% 7.4% 8.4% 12.8% 15.1% 21.0%
Avery Canavan 4.3% 5.2% 5.6% 5.8% 5.6% 6.3% 7.7% 5.7% 7.8% 7.8% 8.2% 9.2% 7.2% 7.8% 5.8%
Ella Towner 2.2% 1.9% 1.6% 1.9% 1.9% 3.8% 3.3% 5.6% 6.0% 5.6% 8.4% 8.6% 12.7% 14.0% 22.5%
Ava Farley 4.4% 4.0% 3.9% 5.3% 4.3% 6.0% 6.7% 6.5% 7.6% 8.8% 8.1% 10.9% 9.1% 8.4% 6.0%
Emaline Ouellette 2.1% 2.3% 2.8% 2.0% 2.3% 4.3% 4.5% 6.1% 6.3% 6.2% 6.9% 7.4% 12.3% 15.0% 19.5%
Karya Basaraner 5.4% 6.4% 6.0% 5.7% 8.0% 7.3% 6.6% 7.3% 8.4% 7.7% 9.3% 7.9% 6.5% 5.2% 2.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.