Race 13B

yale-women-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Laura Hamilton 18.4% 17.7% 13.9% 11.5% 9.8% 7.9% 6.0% 5.9% 3.4% 1.7% 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Cordelia Burn 15.9% 15.4% 12.6% 12.2% 9.9% 9.1% 7.1% 6.1% 3.7% 3.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Ella Towner 2.1% 2.8% 2.6% 2.9% 2.9% 4.8% 4.1% 3.8% 4.6% 8.1% 7.1% 8.9% 10.8% 15.6% 18.9%
bella casaretto 14.1% 14.2% 13.4% 11.6% 8.2% 9.3% 8.6% 7.2% 4.6% 4.2% 2.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Maisie MacGillivray 2.8% 3.6% 3.8% 3.6% 4.3% 4.7% 5.0% 6.4% 6.1% 6.2% 7.8% 11.4% 10.3% 11.5% 12.5%
Audrey Foley 7.8% 8.2% 9.1% 7.3% 11.3% 8.6% 9.9% 7.3% 8.8% 7.2% 5.4% 4.6% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
Karya Basaraner 6.5% 5.1% 4.9% 6.0% 7.2% 7.4% 7.8% 7.6% 8.4% 9.1% 8.0% 6.1% 8.0% 4.8% 3.1%
Ava Cornell 3.7% 4.1% 4.0% 4.8% 6.4% 4.5% 7.4% 5.5% 7.8% 8.0% 9.6% 10.3% 8.5% 9.1% 6.3%
Lucia Loosbrock 5.2% 5.9% 5.5% 7.6% 7.8% 8.6% 8.6% 7.8% 8.3% 8.3% 8.4% 6.1% 6.1% 4.1% 1.7%
Avery Canavan 3.5% 4.5% 4.5% 6.5% 5.1% 6.2% 7.1% 9.3% 6.6% 8.7% 9.8% 8.3% 9.1% 5.7% 5.1%
Emily Alfortish 6.3% 5.2% 8.0% 8.3% 8.0% 7.9% 6.6% 8.6% 8.6% 7.0% 7.6% 6.2% 5.3% 4.1% 2.3%
Ava Farley 3.4% 3.3% 4.0% 5.1% 6.2% 5.2% 7.0% 7.8% 8.4% 7.3% 8.5% 9.8% 9.6% 8.2% 6.2%
Esme Gonzalez 1.6% 2.0% 2.3% 2.6% 3.3% 3.7% 2.8% 4.0% 4.9% 5.9% 6.6% 9.6% 11.8% 15.7% 23.2%
Emaline Ouellette 2.1% 1.5% 3.3% 2.9% 2.5% 3.5% 5.1% 5.5% 6.1% 5.7% 7.0% 9.4% 12.4% 14.2% 18.8%
Marina Conde 6.6% 6.5% 8.1% 7.1% 7.1% 8.6% 6.9% 7.2% 9.7% 9.4% 7.7% 5.7% 3.8% 4.3% 1.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.