← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Yuri Berebitsky 25.1% 21.6% 17.7% 14.2% 10.5% 5.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Caroline Hurley 19.1% 17.8% 17.2% 15.1% 13.0% 9.2% 5.4% 2.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Hunter Wheaton 12.7% 13.5% 13.7% 13.9% 14.3% 12.6% 10.4% 6.2% 2.3% 0.4%
Quincy Spurlock 8.6% 8.6% 10.5% 11.4% 13.0% 14.6% 16.2% 10.5% 5.2% 1.5%
Rowan Clinch 13.7% 13.6% 15.8% 14.8% 13.8% 12.8% 8.7% 5.4% 1.4% 0.1%
Aidan Clark 11.5% 12.5% 11.7% 13.7% 14.7% 14.3% 10.9% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7%
Audrey Lillie 2.4% 3.5% 3.4% 4.9% 6.0% 7.1% 12.0% 18.6% 22.7% 19.4%
Ryan Tuttle 4.1% 4.6% 5.5% 7.0% 6.6% 11.5% 16.6% 20.8% 16.0% 7.4%
Kevin McGann 1.6% 2.1% 1.5% 2.1% 4.2% 5.8% 7.8% 13.6% 25.4% 36.0%
Gabi Feleciano 1.3% 2.2% 3.1% 3.0% 3.9% 6.5% 8.5% 14.1% 22.9% 34.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.