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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+1.43vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.64+2.90vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.24+0.67vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.29+1.27vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.65-2.07vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.21-0.51vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University0.28-1.61vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.20-1.84vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-2.95-0.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43College of Charleston2.040.3%1st Place
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4.9Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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3.67University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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5.27Clemson University0.290.1%1st Place
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2.93Jacksonville University1.650.3%1st Place
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5.49Florida State University0.210.1%1st Place
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5.39North Carolina State University0.280.1%1st Place
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6.16University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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8.76University of Central Florida-2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 33.1% | 26.4% | 20.2% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 5.5% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 0.7% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 14.5% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 18.5% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Ashton Loring | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 15.7% | 1.0% |
| Emily Allen | 25.2% | 23.8% | 18.5% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Niah Ford | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 20.3% | 17.7% | 1.6% |
| Lyla Solway | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 18.0% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 2.1% |
| Kathleen Hale | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 33.1% | 4.2% |
| Brianna Nardelli | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 90.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.