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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.24+2.68vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.04+0.57vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.21+2.56vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.29+1.23vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.65-2.04vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.28-0.67vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.20-0.79vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.64-3.29vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-2.95-0.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68University of South Florida1.240.2%1st Place
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2.57College of Charleston2.040.3%1st Place
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5.56Florida State University0.210.1%1st Place
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5.23Clemson University0.290.1%1st Place
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2.96Jacksonville University1.650.3%1st Place
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5.33North Carolina State University0.280.1%1st Place
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6.21University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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4.71Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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8.76University of Central Florida-2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 15.1% | 15.9% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 29.1% | 27.5% | 19.8% | 12.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Niah Ford | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 18.9% | 19.6% | 2.4% |
| Ashton Loring | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 16.5% | 0.8% |
| Emily Allen | 26.0% | 21.6% | 18.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lyla Solway | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 19.2% | 15.2% | 1.2% |
| Kathleen Hale | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 18.8% | 32.4% | 4.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 0.8% |
| Brianna Nardelli | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 4.3% | 90.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.