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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+1.43vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.64+2.83vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.29+2.33vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.24-0.52vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.21+0.31vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.65-3.07vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.20-0.87vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.05-2.17vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-2.95-0.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43College of Charleston2.040.3%1st Place
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4.83Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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5.33Clemson University0.290.1%1st Place
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3.48University of South Florida1.240.2%1st Place
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5.31Florida State University0.210.1%1st Place
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2.93Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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6.13University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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5.83North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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8.74University of Central Florida-2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 34.6% | 25.6% | 18.3% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 5.8% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 0.5% |
| Ashton Loring | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 19.5% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 1.5% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 16.4% | 18.1% | 20.1% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Niah Ford | 5.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 2.3% |
| Emily Allen | 23.3% | 23.5% | 19.7% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 21.1% | 29.0% | 3.8% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 19.5% | 24.8% | 2.2% |
| Brianna Nardelli | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 89.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.