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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+1.40vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.64+2.81vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.21+2.46vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.29+1.16vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.24-1.48vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.65-3.07vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.20-0.87vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.05-2.17vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-2.95-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4College of Charleston2.040.3%1st Place
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4.81Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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5.46Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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5.16Clemson University0.290.1%1st Place
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3.52University of South Florida1.240.2%1st Place
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2.93Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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6.13University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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5.83North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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8.75University of Central Florida-2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 34.2% | 27.0% | 18.0% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 5.5% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 0.6% |
| Niah Ford | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 2.3% |
| Ashton Loring | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 16.5% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 0.8% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 17.4% | 18.3% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 22.7% | 24.2% | 20.2% | 15.3% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 21.4% | 28.7% | 3.9% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 25.6% | 2.3% |
| Brianna Nardelli | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 90.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.