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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+9.87vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.79+4.66vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.07+2.45vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.17+1.61vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+4.63vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.84+0.81vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.52+0.99vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.71-1.33vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.36-0.74vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.99+0.54vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.80-0.73vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.16-1.24vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.01+0.47vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.37-1.44vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-7.69vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii0.47-4.45vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.36-5.63vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-0.67-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.87St. Mary's College of Maryland0.833.4%1st Place
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6.66Cornell University1.798.2%1st Place
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5.45Stanford University2.0712.7%1st Place
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5.61Harvard University2.1711.6%1st Place
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9.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.924.5%1st Place
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6.81Bowdoin College1.849.3%1st Place
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7.99Old Dominion University1.526.7%1st Place
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6.67Dartmouth College1.719.2%1st Place
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8.26Boston College1.366.8%1st Place
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10.54University of South Florida0.993.2%1st Place
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10.27Fordham University0.803.7%1st Place
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10.76University of Pennsylvania1.163.2%1st Place
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13.47North Carolina State University0.011.5%1st Place
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12.56Boston University0.372.1%1st Place
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7.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.5%1st Place
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11.55University of Hawaii0.472.4%1st Place
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11.37University of Wisconsin0.362.9%1st Place
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15.2University of Texas-0.671.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lina Carper | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Harned | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Deana Fedulova | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Marina Conde | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| bella casaretto | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sara Schumann | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Kalea Woodard | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Rebecca Keller | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 17.7% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 10.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Malia Johnson | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 5.5% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% |
| Kate Lyon | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 14.9% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.