Race 4A

duckling

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Hunter Wheaton 13.5% 13.5% 14.2% 12.8% 14.9% 13.0% 10.0% 5.5% 2.3% 0.4%
Yuri Berebitsky 26.1% 21.4% 17.4% 14.1% 10.0% 6.3% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Rowan Clinch 14.4% 16.0% 13.2% 15.8% 14.1% 12.3% 7.9% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2%
Caroline Hurley 17.8% 17.5% 18.6% 15.5% 13.3% 9.2% 5.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Aidan Clark 10.4% 10.9% 13.1% 15.2% 13.0% 14.6% 11.9% 7.5% 2.8% 0.5%
Quincy Spurlock 7.6% 8.8% 10.5% 10.8% 12.8% 14.5% 15.0% 12.0% 6.2% 1.8%
Audrey Lillie 3.0% 2.9% 3.7% 5.0% 4.5% 8.8% 12.0% 20.4% 21.6% 17.9%
Ryan Tuttle 4.2% 4.7% 5.5% 5.7% 9.3% 11.1% 17.4% 17.8% 16.6% 7.6%
Kevin McGann 1.7% 1.7% 1.9% 2.8% 3.8% 4.8% 8.0% 13.2% 24.2% 37.9%
Gabi Feleciano 1.4% 2.6% 1.8% 2.4% 4.3% 5.3% 9.2% 15.1% 24.3% 33.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.