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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University-1.75+5.19vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.88+2.24vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University-0.44+0.42vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.27+1.09vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.53+0.63vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-2.50+1.80vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-2.31+0.27vs Predicted
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8Hillsdale College0.41-5.83vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.71-0.85vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-1.91-3.55vs Predicted
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11Miami University-3.73-0.93vs Predicted
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12Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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4.24Purdue University-0.880.1%1st Place
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3.42Northern Michigan University-0.440.2%1st Place
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5.09Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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5.63Hope College-1.530.1%1st Place
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7.8Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
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7.27University of Toledo-2.310.0%1st Place
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2.17Hillsdale College0.410.4%1st Place
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8.15Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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6.45Michigan State University-1.910.0%1st Place
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10.07Miami University-3.730.0%1st Place
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11.5Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Irwin | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Alex Day | 10.6% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marco Constantini | 17.5% | 20.8% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 6.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rutherford | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| George Prokop | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 18.1% | 20.9% | 10.1% | 1.4% |
| Kassidy Kennedy | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 8.7% | 1.2% |
| Arden Carleton | 43.1% | 25.0% | 15.8% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 20.4% | 15.0% | 1.4% |
| Keegan Beyer | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Tiegan Witte | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 14.0% | 45.6% | 16.9% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 12.2% | 78.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.