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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northern Michigan University-0.44+2.46vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College0.41+0.16vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-0.88+1.23vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.75+2.19vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.53+0.64vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-1.27-0.87vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-2.31+0.32vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.71+0.18vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.91-2.62vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-2.50-2.22vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-5.16+0.49vs Predicted
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12Miami University-3.73-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46Northern Michigan University-0.440.2%1st Place
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2.16Hillsdale College0.410.4%1st Place
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4.23Purdue University-0.880.1%1st Place
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6.19Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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5.64Hope College-1.530.1%1st Place
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5.13Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Toledo-2.310.0%1st Place
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8.18Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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6.38Michigan State University-1.910.0%1st Place
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7.78Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
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11.49Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
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10.05Miami University-3.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Constantini | 17.9% | 17.9% | 21.4% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arden Carleton | 40.4% | 29.4% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Day | 12.0% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Jack Rutherford | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Williams | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kassidy Kennedy | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 7.0% | 1.3% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 23.1% | 16.5% | 2.0% |
| Keegan Beyer | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| George Prokop | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 19.2% | 10.8% | 1.9% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 10.9% | 79.2% |
| Tiegan Witte | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 14.8% | 46.7% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.