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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-1.27+4.33vs Predicted
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2Northern Michigan University-0.44+1.58vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-0.88+1.40vs Predicted
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4Hillsdale College0.41-1.76vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.20+0.14vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-1.75+0.33vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.53-1.24vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-2.50-0.13vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-2.31-1.54vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-2.71-1.73vs Predicted
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11Miami University-3.73-0.88vs Predicted
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12Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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3.58Northern Michigan University-0.440.2%1st Place
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4.4Purdue University-0.880.1%1st Place
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2.24Hillsdale College0.410.4%1st Place
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5.14Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
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6.33Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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5.76Hope College-1.530.1%1st Place
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7.87Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Toledo-2.310.0%1st Place
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8.27Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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10.12Miami University-3.730.0%1st Place
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11.51Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Williams | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Marco Constantini | 15.6% | 19.3% | 19.3% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Day | 11.6% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Arden Carleton | 40.6% | 26.5% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 8.1% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Rutherford | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| George Prokop | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 18.3% | 20.0% | 11.6% | 1.6% |
| Kassidy Kennedy | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 7.2% | 0.7% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 24.2% | 15.3% | 2.2% |
| Tiegan Witte | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 13.6% | 47.1% | 16.7% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 12.3% | 78.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.