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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-0.88+3.42vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College0.41+0.19vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University-0.44+0.50vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-2.31+3.58vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-1.27+0.25vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.91+0.67vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.71+1.30vs Predicted
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8Hope College-1.53-2.29vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-1.75-2.87vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-1.91-3.38vs Predicted
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11Miami University-3.73-0.88vs Predicted
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12Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Purdue University-0.880.1%1st Place
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2.19Hillsdale College0.410.4%1st Place
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3.5Northern Michigan University-0.440.2%1st Place
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7.58University of Toledo-2.310.0%1st Place
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5.25Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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6.67Michigan State University-1.910.0%1st Place
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8.3Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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5.71Hope College-1.530.1%1st Place
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6.13Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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6.62Michigan State University-1.910.0%1st Place
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10.12Miami University-3.730.0%1st Place
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11.5Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Day | 11.9% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Arden Carleton | 39.1% | 29.6% | 15.2% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marco Constantini | 16.8% | 20.5% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kassidy Kennedy | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 19.0% | 9.7% | 0.7% |
| Emily Williams | 7.8% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Keegan Beyer | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 0.1% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 23.7% | 16.3% | 3.6% |
| Jack Rutherford | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Carly Irwin | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Tiegan Witte | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 46.4% | 17.2% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 12.6% | 77.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.