Race 5A

duckling

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Quincy Spurlock 8.4% 8.4% 10.8% 10.8% 11.8% 14.6% 16.5% 11.1% 6.8% 0.9%
Yuri Berebitsky 24.8% 20.9% 17.8% 14.8% 10.5% 6.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Caroline Hurley 19.4% 17.4% 16.1% 15.6% 13.1% 8.9% 6.3% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Rowan Clinch 14.4% 16.0% 14.4% 15.8% 14.1% 11.5% 7.8% 4.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Hunter Wheaton 14.0% 13.6% 14.5% 14.1% 14.4% 12.3% 8.6% 5.9% 2.4% 0.4%
Aidan Clark 9.8% 13.0% 11.7% 13.5% 15.2% 14.9% 11.6% 7.5% 2.6% 0.4%
Audrey Lillie 2.4% 2.7% 3.9% 4.1% 5.1% 8.2% 12.2% 19.8% 23.4% 18.2%
Ryan Tuttle 4.0% 4.3% 6.3% 6.7% 8.7% 11.9% 17.6% 19.0% 14.6% 6.9%
Kevin McGann 1.3% 1.9% 2.1% 2.5% 3.9% 5.7% 8.3% 13.9% 24.2% 36.0%
Alexis Von Doersten 1.5% 1.9% 2.4% 2.2% 3.3% 5.3% 8.1% 14.2% 24.0% 37.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.