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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-0.88+3.48vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-1.20+3.14vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-1.27+2.22vs Predicted
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4Hillsdale College0.41-1.74vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-0.44-1.41vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.53-0.16vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.71+1.24vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-1.75-1.74vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-2.50-1.13vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-2.31-2.50vs Predicted
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11Miami University-3.73-0.88vs Predicted
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12Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48Purdue University-0.880.1%1st Place
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5.14Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
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5.22Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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2.26Hillsdale College0.410.4%1st Place
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3.59Northern Michigan University-0.440.2%1st Place
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5.84Hope College-1.530.1%1st Place
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8.24Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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6.26Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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7.87Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
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7.5University of Toledo-2.310.0%1st Place
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10.12Miami University-3.730.0%1st Place
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11.49Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Day | 9.9% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 7.4% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Arden Carleton | 39.2% | 28.3% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marco Constantini | 17.1% | 18.6% | 20.7% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rutherford | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Keegan Aerts | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 22.2% | 15.8% | 3.6% |
| Carly Irwin | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| George Prokop | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 18.7% | 19.9% | 11.4% | 0.5% |
| Kassidy Kennedy | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 8.9% | 1.3% |
| Tiegan Witte | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 15.9% | 45.5% | 17.1% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 12.8% | 77.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.