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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College0.41+1.25vs Predicted
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2Hope College-1.53+3.80vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-1.27+2.25vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.20+1.11vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.88-0.60vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-0.44-2.42vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-2.31+0.44vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-1.75-1.74vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.71-0.69vs Predicted
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10Miami University-3.73+0.01vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-2.50-2.92vs Predicted
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12Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Hillsdale College0.410.4%1st Place
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5.8Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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5.25Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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5.11Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.4Purdue University-0.880.1%1st Place
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3.58Northern Michigan University-0.440.2%1st Place
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7.44University of Toledo-2.310.0%1st Place
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6.26Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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8.31Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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10.01Miami University-3.730.0%1st Place
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8.08Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
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11.51Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 38.7% | 28.7% | 15.3% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rutherford | 4.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Emily Williams | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alex Day | 11.2% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Marco Constantini | 17.9% | 17.7% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kassidy Kennedy | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 18.6% | 8.7% | 1.2% |
| Carly Irwin | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 18.4% | 23.5% | 14.6% | 1.5% |
| Tiegan Witte | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 14.7% | 45.7% | 15.7% |
| George Prokop | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 21.2% | 13.4% | 2.3% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 12.3% | 78.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.