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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College-1.53+4.26vs Predicted
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2Northern Michigan University-0.44+1.20vs Predicted
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3Hillsdale College0.41-0.92vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.27+0.82vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.88-1.08vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-2.71+1.56vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.91-1.22vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-2.31-1.38vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-2.50-1.79vs Predicted
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10Miami University-3.73-0.94vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.26Hope College-1.530.1%1st Place
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3.2Northern Michigan University-0.440.2%1st Place
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2.08Hillsdale College0.410.4%1st Place
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4.82Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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3.92Purdue University-0.880.1%1st Place
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7.56Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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5.78Michigan State University-1.910.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Toledo-2.310.0%1st Place
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7.21Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
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9.06Miami University-3.730.0%1st Place
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10.48Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Rutherford | 5.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Marco Constantini | 19.1% | 21.6% | 20.4% | 17.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arden Carleton | 42.1% | 29.4% | 14.7% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 7.1% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alex Day | 12.4% | 14.1% | 21.5% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 22.5% | 17.8% | 3.2% |
| Keegan Beyer | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| Kassidy Kennedy | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 8.4% | 1.0% |
| George Prokop | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 19.7% | 12.3% | 3.8% |
| Tiegan Witte | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 16.9% | 42.7% | 15.8% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 12.8% | 76.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.