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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College0.41+1.03vs Predicted
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2Hope College-1.53+3.20vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University-0.44+0.34vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.27+0.81vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.88-1.09vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-2.31+0.83vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.91-1.21vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-2.50-1.02vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.71-1.44vs Predicted
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10Miami University-3.73-0.94vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Hillsdale College0.410.4%1st Place
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5.2Hope College-1.530.1%1st Place
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3.34Northern Michigan University-0.440.2%1st Place
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4.81Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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3.91Purdue University-0.880.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Toledo-2.310.0%1st Place
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5.79Michigan State University-1.910.1%1st Place
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6.98Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
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7.56Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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9.06Miami University-3.730.0%1st Place
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10.49Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 43.3% | 28.6% | 15.4% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rutherford | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Marco Constantini | 16.4% | 20.1% | 22.9% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 7.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Day | 13.1% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kassidy Kennedy | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 17.0% | 9.9% | 1.2% |
| Keegan Beyer | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 0.1% |
| George Prokop | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 18.9% | 12.0% | 1.5% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 24.1% | 16.2% | 4.2% |
| Tiegan Witte | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 43.0% | 15.9% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 11.8% | 77.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.