Race 2B

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nathan Sylvester 11.1% 10.6% 10.8% 12.6% 15.2% 15.5% 14.7% 8.2% 1.3%
Caden Meyers 13.2% 16.8% 14.8% 16.5% 14.8% 11.0% 8.1% 4.1% 0.7%
Reed Rossell 12.1% 13.2% 13.9% 12.6% 14.3% 14.3% 14.1% 4.3% 1.2%
Alexandra Avery 14.2% 13.7% 14.8% 14.1% 16.1% 12.0% 10.0% 4.0% 1.1%
Alya MacManaway 6.3% 8.3% 10.8% 10.6% 10.8% 14.8% 17.3% 15.6% 5.5%
Joseph Mowrey 28.8% 23.9% 16.6% 13.6% 8.1% 5.9% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Griffin Boothby 10.7% 9.8% 13.3% 14.6% 13.9% 16.1% 13.5% 6.4% 1.7%
AUSTIN SJAARDA 2.1% 2.2% 2.7% 2.9% 4.2% 5.4% 11.7% 32.3% 36.5%
Claire DeVoogd 1.5% 1.5% 2.3% 2.5% 2.6% 5.0% 8.0% 24.7% 51.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.