Race 3B

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Caden Meyers 17.7% 15.6% 15.1% 17.4% 12.0% 10.4% 8.7% 2.8% 0.3%
Griffin Boothby 7.5% 11.6% 12.8% 13.6% 14.5% 16.2% 13.0% 8.8% 2.0%
Joseph Mowrey 28.6% 20.9% 17.9% 13.3% 10.0% 6.1% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Alexandra Avery 13.4% 15.4% 14.1% 14.2% 15.4% 12.7% 9.9% 4.0% 0.9%
Reed Rossell 12.8% 16.5% 14.4% 12.7% 13.0% 13.3% 10.3% 5.6% 1.4%
Nathan Sylvester 9.9% 10.8% 12.2% 14.0% 14.2% 15.0% 15.5% 6.9% 1.5%
Alya MacManaway 6.2% 5.7% 8.7% 9.4% 13.5% 16.3% 21.0% 13.9% 5.3%
AUSTIN SJAARDA 2.3% 2.1% 2.3% 3.0% 4.7% 6.2% 9.9% 32.3% 37.2%
Claire DeVoogd 1.6% 1.4% 2.5% 2.4% 2.7% 3.8% 9.0% 25.2% 51.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.