Race 4B

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Caden Meyers 18.0% 15.9% 14.0% 17.3% 12.3% 12.1% 7.6% 2.2% 0.6%
Nathan Sylvester 7.9% 9.4% 12.6% 14.9% 15.2% 13.3% 16.0% 8.1% 2.6%
Griffin Boothby 11.0% 9.4% 14.5% 12.5% 13.9% 15.1% 15.1% 7.2% 1.3%
Joseph Mowrey 27.6% 24.4% 17.9% 12.8% 8.8% 6.0% 1.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Reed Rossell 13.0% 16.4% 14.1% 13.3% 12.6% 13.0% 10.6% 5.3% 1.7%
Alya MacManaway 6.3% 7.6% 8.3% 8.8% 12.5% 17.0% 20.2% 15.3% 4.0%
Alexandra Avery 12.6% 13.4% 13.6% 14.5% 17.8% 12.5% 10.7% 4.1% 0.8%
Claire DeVoogd 1.6% 1.4% 2.2% 2.4% 3.4% 5.0% 7.9% 23.6% 52.5%
AUSTIN SJAARDA 2.0% 2.1% 2.8% 3.5% 3.5% 6.0% 10.4% 33.3% 36.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.