Race 5B

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joseph Mowrey 25.0% 19.8% 16.3% 12.2% 10.8% 6.5% 5.2% 3.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Jack Charlton 12.5% 13.2% 15.2% 14.9% 11.2% 11.8% 9.5% 8.2% 2.9% 0.6%
Griffin Boothby 8.7% 8.5% 10.7% 8.6% 12.9% 13.4% 15.5% 13.7% 6.4% 1.6%
Garrett Szlachta 12.1% 14.1% 14.6% 12.9% 14.3% 11.8% 10.2% 6.2% 3.4% 0.4%
Nathan Sylvester 9.4% 8.7% 9.5% 10.8% 10.0% 15.2% 13.1% 15.2% 6.1% 2.0%
Alexandra Avery 11.9% 10.6% 11.0% 13.9% 13.0% 11.8% 11.5% 9.7% 5.5% 1.1%
Alya MacManaway 4.2% 6.0% 7.0% 9.2% 6.8% 12.2% 15.5% 20.4% 14.2% 4.5%
Caden Meyers 13.8% 16.2% 12.7% 11.9% 15.5% 10.2% 9.7% 6.7% 2.8% 0.5%
AUSTIN SJAARDA 1.6% 1.4% 2.1% 3.3% 2.7% 4.2% 5.3% 9.3% 32.9% 37.2%
Claire DeVoogd 0.8% 1.5% 0.9% 2.3% 2.8% 2.9% 4.5% 7.3% 25.1% 51.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.