Race 7B

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Reid Kwiatkowski 24.3% 18.3% 16.0% 12.3% 13.1% 6.2% 5.1% 3.7% 0.7% 0.3%
Caden Meyers 11.6% 13.2% 12.8% 14.0% 13.3% 12.2% 11.9% 7.8% 2.9% 0.3%
Griffin Boothby 8.1% 7.6% 8.8% 10.9% 11.4% 14.5% 15.2% 15.0% 7.0% 1.5%
Alexandra Avery 9.0% 9.7% 12.9% 12.3% 12.7% 15.8% 11.3% 11.5% 3.9% 0.9%
Alya MacManaway 5.6% 5.6% 7.0% 8.2% 6.5% 11.0% 15.0% 20.4% 16.8% 3.9%
Nathan Sylvester 8.6% 8.2% 8.8% 10.1% 11.7% 14.7% 13.4% 14.0% 8.1% 2.4%
Joseph Mowrey 19.1% 20.0% 17.6% 15.2% 11.6% 8.2% 5.4% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Jack Charlton 11.9% 13.9% 13.4% 12.3% 14.2% 11.5% 11.2% 8.3% 2.9% 0.4%
Claire DeVoogd 0.7% 1.8% 1.1% 1.5% 2.5% 2.4% 5.2% 7.2% 26.4% 51.2%
AUSTIN SJAARDA 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 3.2% 3.0% 3.5% 6.3% 9.7% 30.9% 39.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.