Race 8B

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Griffin Boothby 8.5% 9.7% 10.1% 10.1% 10.9% 12.3% 14.3% 15.8% 6.8% 1.5%
Nathan Sylvester 8.2% 7.0% 9.3% 11.2% 10.3% 13.9% 15.5% 14.3% 8.8% 1.5%
Jack Charlton 11.6% 12.2% 11.9% 14.0% 13.7% 13.7% 11.0% 8.0% 3.3% 0.6%
Joseph Mowrey 20.2% 20.4% 17.3% 13.9% 12.4% 7.2% 5.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Caden Meyers 12.5% 13.3% 13.7% 13.0% 14.8% 12.2% 9.9% 7.1% 2.9% 0.6%
Alexandra Avery 11.9% 8.6% 12.0% 11.6% 12.5% 13.6% 12.8% 11.1% 4.9% 1.0%
Alya MacManaway 3.8% 5.3% 6.4% 6.9% 9.5% 12.2% 15.2% 21.0% 15.1% 4.6%
Reid Kwiatkowski 21.3% 21.0% 16.4% 13.9% 10.9% 7.7% 5.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
AUSTIN SJAARDA 1.2% 1.7% 1.8% 3.0% 2.5% 4.0% 6.2% 9.6% 32.4% 37.6%
Claire DeVoogd 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 2.4% 2.5% 3.2% 4.4% 8.2% 24.2% 52.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.