← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Washington University-0.08+1.04vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University-0.38+0.31vs Predicted
-
3Northwestern University-0.94+0.01vs Predicted
-
4University of Illinois-2.68+1.44vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University-2.29-0.14vs Predicted
-
6Ohio State University-2.41-1.01vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University-2.75-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.04Washington University-0.080.4%1st Place
-
2.31Northwestern University-0.380.3%1st Place
-
3.01Northwestern University-0.940.2%1st Place
-
5.44University of Illinois-2.680.0%1st Place
-
4.86Purdue University-2.290.0%1st Place
-
4.99Ohio State University-2.410.0%1st Place
-
5.35Northwestern University-2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Tait | 41.8% | 29.2% | 17.2% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Charles Crowell | 30.5% | 30.8% | 23.1% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Herbert Single | 15.5% | 22.2% | 29.6% | 17.1% | 10.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Chris Li | 1.4% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 25.6% | 30.8% |
| Silas Hokanson | 4.0% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 18.9% | 24.0% | 21.9% | 16.8% |
| Alexa Hind | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 19.1% | 22.7% | 22.0% | 20.1% |
| Romanos Ioannis Chiliarchopoulos | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 25.3% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.