← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Washington University-0.75+0.91vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University-2.20+1.69vs Predicted
-
3Ohio State University-1.91+0.34vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University-4.33+2.02vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University-1.76-1.80vs Predicted
-
6Purdue University-1.92-2.66vs Predicted
-
7University of Illinois-5.14-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.91Washington University-0.750.5%1st Place
-
3.69Northwestern University-2.200.1%1st Place
-
3.34Ohio State University-1.910.1%1st Place
-
6.02Northwestern University-4.330.0%1st Place
-
3.2Northwestern University-1.760.1%1st Place
-
3.34Purdue University-1.920.1%1st Place
-
6.49University of Illinois-5.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xinshi Feng | 47.9% | 28.0% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Milo Fernandez | 10.4% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 28.0% | 7.5% | 0.8% |
| Michael Mignogna | 12.1% | 18.7% | 22.8% | 21.3% | 19.8% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Obinnaya Okezie | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 53.6% | 31.0% |
| Luke Sadalla | 14.9% | 19.8% | 22.3% | 20.9% | 17.5% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Charlton | 13.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 22.3% | 20.1% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Arseniy Titov | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 25.1% | 66.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.