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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Unknown School-0.53+3.27vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.03+1.54vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.19+0.11vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-1.00+1.20vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.68+1.52vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.40-1.96vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.68-2.53vs Predicted
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8Gonzaga University-2.60+0.07vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-2.69-0.71vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-2.20-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27Unknown School-0.5313.1%1st Place
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3.54Western Washington University0.0318.5%1st Place
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3.11Western Washington University0.1923.8%1st Place
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5.2Oregon State University-1.008.2%1st Place
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6.52University of Oregon-1.684.3%1st Place
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4.04University of Oregon-0.4015.2%1st Place
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4.47University of Oregon-0.6811.1%1st Place
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8.07Gonzaga University-2.601.9%1st Place
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8.29Gonzaga University-2.691.6%1st Place
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7.5University of Oregon-2.202.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Hunter Wheaton | 13.1% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
Caroline Hurley | 18.5% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Yuri Berebitsky | 23.8% | 21.8% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Quincy Spurlock | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
Ryan Tuttle | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 17.8% | 19.3% | 14.9% | 7.1% |
Rowan Clinch | 15.2% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
Aidan Clark | 11.1% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
Gabi Feleciano | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 22.2% | 34.0% |
Kevin McGann | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 22.7% | 38.6% |
Audrey Lillie | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 19.4% | 25.6% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.