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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University-0.75+0.94vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-1.92+1.29vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-2.20+0.71vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.91-0.62vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.76-1.80vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-4.33-0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-5.14-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94Washington University-0.750.5%1st Place
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3.29Purdue University-1.920.1%1st Place
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3.71Northwestern University-2.200.1%1st Place
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3.38Ohio State University-1.910.1%1st Place
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3.2Northwestern University-1.760.1%1st Place
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5.99Northwestern University-4.330.0%1st Place
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6.49University of Illinois-5.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xinshi Feng | 47.6% | 24.9% | 17.2% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Charlton | 13.6% | 19.4% | 20.8% | 22.4% | 18.7% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
| Milo Fernandez | 9.4% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 22.8% | 27.8% | 7.8% | 0.7% |
| Michael Mignogna | 14.2% | 16.4% | 19.9% | 22.5% | 21.2% | 5.5% | 0.3% |
| Luke Sadalla | 13.9% | 21.7% | 22.3% | 19.9% | 17.3% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Obinnaya Okezie | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 8.6% | 52.8% | 30.9% |
| Arseniy Titov | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 24.6% | 67.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.