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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University-0.75+1.25vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-1.92+1.87vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-1.53+0.34vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-2.20+0.37vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-1.91-1.03vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.76-2.33vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-4.33-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Washington University-0.750.4%1st Place
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3.87Purdue University-1.920.1%1st Place
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3.34University of Illinois-1.530.2%1st Place
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4.37Northwestern University-2.200.1%1st Place
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3.97Ohio State University-1.910.1%1st Place
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3.67Northwestern University-1.760.1%1st Place
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6.53Northwestern University-4.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xinshi Feng | 40.0% | 24.5% | 16.8% | 10.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Charlton | 11.0% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 19.0% | 17.8% | 3.7% |
| Shuchen Cai | 15.2% | 20.7% | 18.8% | 19.1% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 1.9% |
| Milo Fernandez | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 20.0% | 27.2% | 7.1% |
| Michael Mignogna | 10.0% | 13.7% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 18.6% | 19.4% | 4.9% |
| Luke Sadalla | 13.7% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 18.5% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 2.4% |
| Obinnaya Okezie | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 79.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.