Race 10A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Bridget Green 25.4% 21.9% 17.1% 11.5% 10.2% 5.2% 3.6% 2.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 24.8% 18.6% 16.6% 13.5% 9.0% 8.0% 4.2% 2.5% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lizzie Cochran 5.1% 4.3% 6.0% 6.9% 7.9% 9.4% 8.4% 8.2% 10.1% 10.8% 7.7% 7.0% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9%
Grace Watlington 2.6% 4.8% 4.8% 6.4% 6.1% 7.8% 8.5% 7.2% 8.6% 11.0% 8.2% 9.2% 8.4% 4.4% 2.0%
Ava Farley 6.0% 6.8% 7.4% 5.9% 8.0% 8.3% 11.3% 9.7% 9.0% 8.8% 7.2% 4.3% 4.7% 2.2% 0.4%
Avery Canavan 4.7% 6.4% 7.4% 8.3% 8.9% 10.4% 9.5% 11.1% 9.9% 7.2% 6.0% 6.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.4%
Katherine Mason 1.7% 1.4% 2.7% 2.7% 2.2% 3.4% 3.6% 4.2% 5.3% 6.1% 9.6% 12.4% 13.3% 16.4% 15.0%
Elizabeth Starck 5.4% 6.9% 7.9% 8.5% 8.8% 9.6% 8.6% 10.5% 9.8% 7.4% 6.5% 5.8% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6%
Elizabeth Frost 2.2% 3.4% 3.9% 5.3% 6.3% 6.1% 8.5% 9.2% 8.9% 9.9% 10.2% 8.9% 8.7% 5.8% 2.7%
Sofia Segalla 12.6% 13.2% 12.3% 14.0% 12.3% 10.5% 8.4% 7.0% 4.2% 2.4% 2.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Gianna Dewey 3.4% 3.9% 6.2% 5.3% 7.6% 7.0% 7.8% 8.2% 10.8% 7.7% 8.0% 8.2% 9.4% 4.8% 1.7%
Carly Mraz 1.5% 1.3% 1.1% 2.4% 2.0% 2.8% 3.6% 6.1% 5.7% 6.9% 8.9% 10.9% 13.1% 18.7% 15.0%
Nicole Ostapowicz 0.5% 1.3% 1.1% 2.5% 2.5% 2.3% 3.7% 2.9% 3.7% 5.1% 7.5% 8.1% 13.8% 20.3% 24.7%
Kayla Maguire 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 1.8% 1.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.9% 2.6% 4.9% 7.0% 8.3% 11.3% 17.8% 34.6%
Cho-Cho Williams 3.4% 4.9% 4.8% 5.0% 6.7% 6.7% 7.8% 7.9% 8.5% 10.6% 10.4% 9.9% 6.6% 4.8% 2.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.