← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.34+2.45vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+3.93vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+4.08vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University1.63+1.28vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.36-1.46vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University0.37+3.11vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+2.20vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy0.28+1.29vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania1.41-3.20vs Predicted
-
10Columbia University0.45-1.19vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University1.22-4.49vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College-0.02-1.59vs Predicted
-
13Princeton University-0.92-0.48vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University0.10-4.15vs Predicted
-
15Rochester Institute of Technology-1.37-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.45Cornell University2.340.2%1st Place
-
5.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
-
7.08St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
-
5.28Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
-
3.54Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
-
9.11Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
-
9.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
-
9.29U. S. Naval Academy0.280.0%1st Place
-
5.8University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
-
8.81Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
-
6.51George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
-
10.41SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
-
12.52Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
-
9.85Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
-
13.22Rochester Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winborne Majette | 23.0% | 22.5% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Marina Conde | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Doble | 22.5% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smith | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 3.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 7.9% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 5.3% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 12.9% | 24.1% | 30.8% |
| Lauren Murray | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 4.7% |
| Kristen McDonough | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 20.9% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.