← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University1.63+4.12vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.34+1.43vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.36+0.44vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania1.41+1.87vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+1.17vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University0.10+3.87vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University1.22-0.55vs Predicted
-
8Columbia University0.45+0.75vs Predicted
-
9Christopher Newport University0.37-0.02vs Predicted
-
10Princeton University-0.92+2.46vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.64vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-4.64vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College-0.02-2.65vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy0.28-4.78vs Predicted
-
15Rochester Institute of Technology-1.37-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.12Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
-
3.43Cornell University2.340.2%1st Place
-
3.44Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
-
5.87University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
-
6.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
-
9.87Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
-
6.45George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
-
8.75Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
-
8.98Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
-
12.46Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
-
9.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
-
7.36St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
-
10.35SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
-
9.22U. S. Naval Academy0.280.0%1st Place
-
13.18Rochester Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Conde | 12.1% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 22.1% | 22.7% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 22.3% | 19.9% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Deana Fedulova | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Murray | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 9.3% | 4.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 1.7% |
| Laura Smith | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 25.0% | 28.4% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 4.3% |
| Lina Carper | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 7.6% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| Kristen McDonough | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 19.5% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.