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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.34+2.48vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.36+1.33vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.63+2.21vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.92+8.39vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.41+0.94vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+0.11vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.02+3.09vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.10+1.82vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-1.89vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.62vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy0.28-1.66vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.22-5.43vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.37-3.75vs Predicted
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14Columbia University0.45-5.22vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-1.37-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Cornell University2.340.2%1st Place
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3.33Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
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5.21Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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12.39Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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5.94University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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6.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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10.09SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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9.82Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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7.11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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9.34U. S. Naval Academy0.280.0%1st Place
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6.57George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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9.25Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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8.78Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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13.18Rochester Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winborne Majette | 23.1% | 19.2% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 25.0% | 20.9% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 10.4% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 23.1% | 29.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 5.6% |
| Lauren Murray | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 4.7% |
| Lina Carper | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 3.0% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 3.7% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Laura Smith | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Eva DeCastro | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
| Kristen McDonough | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 18.6% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.