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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.36+2.46vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+3.94vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+4.13vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.34-0.47vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.22+1.48vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.63-0.79vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.41-1.15vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.29vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.02+1.17vs Predicted
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10Fordham University0.10-0.14vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.92+1.42vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.45-3.04vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.37-3.77vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy0.28-4.78vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-1.37-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
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5.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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7.13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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3.53Cornell University2.340.2%1st Place
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6.48George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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5.21Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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10.17SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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9.86Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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12.42Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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8.96Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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9.23Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Naval Academy0.280.0%1st Place
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13.25Rochester Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Doble | 21.3% | 23.0% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 22.3% | 18.9% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Marina Conde | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 9.5% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 2.8% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 4.4% |
| Lauren Murray | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 5.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 26.0% | 28.1% |
| Eva DeCastro | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Laura Smith | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Kristen McDonough | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 17.7% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.