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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.03+2.36vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.19+0.95vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.40+0.90vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-0.68+0.38vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.68+1.30vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-1.25-0.67vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-0.53-2.88vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-2.20-0.96vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-2.60-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Western Washington University0.0320.1%1st Place
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2.95Western Washington University0.1924.8%1st Place
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3.9University of Oregon-0.4014.8%1st Place
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4.38University of Oregon-0.6811.1%1st Place
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6.3University of Oregon-1.684.2%1st Place
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5.33Oregon State University-1.258.3%1st Place
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4.12Unknown School-0.5312.7%1st Place
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7.04University of Oregon-2.202.6%1st Place
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7.62Gonzaga University-2.601.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Hurley | 20.1% | 19.1% | 17.6% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Yuri Berebitsky | 24.8% | 24.3% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Rowan Clinch | 14.8% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Clark | 11.1% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 20.4% | 23.2% | 13.4% |
| Ethan Wickman | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 18.9% | 12.6% | 5.5% |
| Hunter Wheaton | 12.7% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Audrey Lillie | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 28.5% | 29.2% |
| Gabi Feleciano | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 20.4% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.