Race 5B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Winborne Majette 21.8% 21.3% 16.7% 12.7% 8.9% 7.1% 3.9% 4.2% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Deana Fedulova 7.7% 9.1% 9.7% 10.4% 10.7% 10.4% 10.0% 8.9% 6.4% 7.5% 4.4% 2.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.2%
Laura Smith 3.1% 3.1% 3.8% 5.3% 4.0% 5.4% 7.6% 8.3% 9.1% 11.0% 10.0% 11.1% 9.5% 6.2% 2.5%
Emily Doble 23.3% 18.7% 16.1% 12.1% 12.0% 6.1% 5.8% 2.6% 1.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Adra Ivancich 9.6% 9.6% 8.9% 8.3% 9.4% 11.4% 10.5% 9.9% 7.1% 6.3% 4.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Marina Conde 10.3% 9.3% 12.5% 12.6% 11.5% 11.3% 9.0% 8.7% 6.6% 4.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Lauren Murray 2.6% 3.6% 2.6% 3.3% 3.9% 3.9% 5.9% 6.0% 9.2% 9.4% 11.1% 11.8% 11.1% 10.0% 5.6%
Annika VanderHorst 3.3% 2.8% 3.3% 4.1% 5.9% 4.8% 6.0% 8.3% 7.8% 8.6% 10.2% 12.6% 12.2% 7.4% 2.7%
Eva DeCastro 2.2% 3.8% 3.4% 5.6% 5.5% 6.7% 7.9% 7.3% 9.2% 11.2% 10.8% 9.3% 9.4% 6.4% 1.3%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 6.5% 6.8% 9.8% 7.7% 9.8% 9.5% 10.2% 10.2% 9.1% 7.5% 5.9% 3.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Lina Carper 4.8% 6.3% 6.4% 8.0% 8.2% 9.7% 8.1% 9.8% 9.8% 7.2% 8.1% 5.3% 5.4% 2.3% 0.6%
Linnea Forsberg 2.2% 2.5% 2.2% 4.3% 4.9% 5.5% 7.1% 5.8% 9.2% 9.9% 10.5% 13.8% 11.0% 8.4% 2.7%
Isabelle Gautier 1.3% 2.0% 2.7% 3.7% 3.3% 4.2% 4.5% 5.7% 6.0% 6.9% 11.3% 12.5% 15.1% 13.3% 7.5%
Evelyn Walsh 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 1.2% 2.7% 1.4% 2.9% 4.1% 5.3% 6.1% 8.2% 12.1% 24.4% 28.0%
Kristen McDonough 0.5% 0.2% 1.1% 0.8% 0.8% 1.3% 2.1% 1.4% 3.1% 3.0% 4.1% 5.0% 8.8% 19.0% 48.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.