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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.34+2.48vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+5.05vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.63+2.16vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+5.27vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+1.19vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.22+0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.41-1.19vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.10+1.86vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.37-0.02vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.36-6.47vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.02-0.81vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.45-3.03vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy0.28-3.53vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.92-1.59vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-1.37-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Cornell University2.340.2%1st Place
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7.05St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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5.16Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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6.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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6.43George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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5.81University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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9.86Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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8.98Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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3.53Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
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10.19SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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8.97Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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9.47U. S. Naval Academy0.280.0%1st Place
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12.41Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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13.21Rochester Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winborne Majette | 22.9% | 20.6% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Marina Conde | 11.3% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Deana Fedulova | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Murray | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 4.5% |
| Laura Smith | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Emily Doble | 20.7% | 20.5% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 6.8% |
| Eva DeCastro | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 3.3% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 24.5% | 27.9% |
| Kristen McDonough | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 18.0% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.