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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.34+2.48vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.22+4.27vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.63+2.23vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.28+5.24vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.45+3.79vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.41-0.14vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.02+3.10vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.36-4.51vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.37+0.02vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-2.72vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.10-1.18vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.45vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.92-0.49vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-1.37-0.73vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-8.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Cornell University2.340.2%1st Place
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6.27George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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5.23Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Naval Academy0.280.0%1st Place
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8.79Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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5.86University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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10.1SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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3.49Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
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9.02Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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7.28St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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9.82Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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12.51Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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13.27Rochester Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
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6.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winborne Majette | 22.9% | 20.3% | 16.8% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Marina Conde | 11.4% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Eva DeCastro | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Adra Ivancich | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 6.0% |
| Emily Doble | 22.1% | 20.5% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smith | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Lina Carper | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Lauren Murray | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 4.3% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 2.9% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 25.9% | 29.7% |
| Kristen McDonough | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 19.3% | 48.5% |
| Deana Fedulova | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.