Race 11B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Winborne Majette 24.4% 19.3% 15.8% 12.0% 9.2% 8.0% 4.3% 3.8% 1.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Deana Fedulova 7.8% 8.8% 10.6% 10.7% 9.6% 10.2% 9.9% 8.7% 8.6% 6.7% 3.5% 2.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.2%
Adra Ivancich 8.9% 9.4% 9.7% 9.7% 11.9% 9.4% 9.7% 9.9% 7.4% 6.9% 3.6% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Evelyn Walsh 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 2.2% 2.5% 2.7% 2.7% 5.4% 7.2% 7.4% 11.8% 24.1% 28.9%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 7.1% 7.6% 9.3% 7.9% 7.6% 10.3% 8.7% 11.3% 9.4% 8.4% 4.6% 3.9% 3.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Isabelle Gautier 1.8% 2.3% 2.5% 3.4% 3.8% 3.8% 4.3% 6.2% 7.4% 7.1% 11.1% 13.2% 13.7% 13.7% 5.7%
Marina Conde 11.0% 10.7% 11.5% 11.9% 10.4% 10.3% 10.4% 7.7% 5.4% 5.4% 3.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Annika VanderHorst 2.9% 2.6% 3.8% 4.7% 4.7% 5.9% 5.8% 5.9% 9.3% 9.4% 12.0% 10.6% 11.0% 8.5% 2.9%
Lina Carper 5.0% 5.9% 6.5% 7.5% 9.2% 9.3% 10.0% 10.1% 10.7% 7.9% 6.8% 6.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.1%
Linnea Forsberg 2.1% 3.5% 2.6% 3.7% 5.6% 5.1% 6.2% 7.2% 8.8% 9.9% 10.1% 12.9% 11.8% 7.2% 3.3%
Eva DeCastro 3.2% 3.5% 3.9% 5.2% 5.2% 5.8% 8.1% 6.9% 10.5% 8.7% 10.8% 9.6% 9.4% 6.5% 2.7%
Emily Doble 19.9% 19.3% 16.3% 12.2% 10.5% 8.6% 6.3% 4.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Murray 2.1% 2.1% 3.1% 3.5% 3.9% 4.3% 5.0% 6.3% 6.0% 9.9% 10.5% 12.3% 13.4% 11.8% 5.8%
Laura Smith 2.5% 3.5% 2.9% 5.2% 6.5% 5.9% 6.6% 7.5% 8.8% 8.5% 11.2% 12.2% 10.4% 6.0% 2.3%
Kristen McDonough 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.9% 2.2% 1.8% 2.1% 3.7% 4.7% 5.1% 8.3% 19.6% 48.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.