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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+5.03vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.36+1.40vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.34+0.51vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.63+1.25vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.28+4.29vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.41-0.12vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+0.20vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.37+1.06vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.45-0.21vs Predicted
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10Fordham University0.10-0.09vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.22-4.58vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.50vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.02-2.59vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.78-1.87vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-1.37-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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3.4Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
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3.51Cornell University2.340.2%1st Place
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5.25Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Naval Academy0.280.0%1st Place
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5.88University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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7.2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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9.06Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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8.79Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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9.91Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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6.42George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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10.41SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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12.13Princeton University-0.780.0%1st Place
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13.22Rochester Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deana Fedulova | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Emily Doble | 23.0% | 21.1% | 16.0% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 21.9% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 2.4% |
| Adra Ivancich | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lina Carper | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Laura Smith | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Eva DeCastro | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Murray | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 5.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 2.9% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 7.8% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 22.7% | 25.3% |
| Kristen McDonough | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 16.9% | 50.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.