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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+2.11vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+3.89vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.69+1.40vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.43+1.01vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+4.32vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.70-1.61vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.59+0.40vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.64-0.39vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91-0.68vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering0.52-5.23vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University-0.61-3.20vs Predicted
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12Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.65-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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5.89University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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4.4Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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5.01Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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9.32Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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4.39McGill University0.700.1%1st Place
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7.4Bates College-0.590.1%1st Place
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7.61Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
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8.32University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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4.77Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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7.8Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
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9.98Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 25.5% | 20.8% | 18.7% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Delong | 5.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 14.9% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Walter Chiles | 9.3% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jackson Harney | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 20.2% | 27.3% |
| Genevieve Lau | 14.3% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Colby Green | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 5.8% |
| Andrew Blagden | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 7.9% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 10.7% |
| James Jagielski | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Myles Hazen | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 8.4% |
| Alexander Tucker | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 20.5% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.