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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+2.12vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.69+2.40vs Predicted
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3Olin College of Engineering0.52+1.80vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.70+0.40vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.43+0.03vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-0.10vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.64+0.57vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91+0.29vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+0.32vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-0.61-2.45vs Predicted
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11Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.65-0.96vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.59-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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4.4Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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4.8Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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4.4McGill University0.700.1%1st Place
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5.03Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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5.9University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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7.57Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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9.32Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.55Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
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10.04Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.650.0%1st Place
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7.6Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 25.1% | 19.7% | 20.0% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 12.9% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 12.4% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Genevieve Lau | 13.5% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Walter Chiles | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| William Delong | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Blagden | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 12.7% |
| Jackson Harney | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 22.1% | 23.5% |
| Myles Hazen | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 6.2% |
| Alexander Tucker | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 18.6% | 41.2% |
| Colby Green | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 11.4% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.