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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Olin College of Engineering0.52+3.88vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.31+1.11vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.70+1.35vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+1.95vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.59+2.58vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.43-0.97vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.64+0.57vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91+0.22vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University-0.61-1.47vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.69-5.65vs Predicted
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11Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.65-1.01vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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3.11Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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4.35McGill University0.700.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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7.58Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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5.03Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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7.57Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
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8.22University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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7.53Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
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4.35Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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9.99Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.650.0%1st Place
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9.44Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Jagielski | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 24.9% | 22.2% | 17.5% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Lau | 14.4% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| William Delong | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Colby Green | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 7.3% |
| Walter Chiles | 11.7% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Blagden | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 11.6% |
| Myles Hazen | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 6.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 13.2% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Tucker | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 23.5% | 37.8% |
| Jackson Harney | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 20.8% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.