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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College0.43+4.06vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.70+2.32vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.31+0.09vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University-0.61+3.65vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+0.91vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.59+1.58vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering0.52-2.28vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.69-3.62vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.64-1.42vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.73vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91-2.52vs Predicted
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12Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.65-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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4.32McGill University0.700.1%1st Place
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3.09Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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7.65Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
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5.91University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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7.58Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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4.72Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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4.38Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
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7.58Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.27Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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8.48University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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9.96Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Chiles | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Genevieve Lau | 13.1% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 25.6% | 21.7% | 17.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Myles Hazen | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 6.7% |
| William Delong | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Colby Green | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 10.0% | 6.8% |
| James Jagielski | 12.3% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 15.4% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Blagden | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 5.5% |
| Jackson Harney | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 20.6% | 25.5% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 13.8% |
| Alexander Tucker | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.