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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.69+3.47vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.31+1.13vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.70+1.33vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.64+3.69vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.43+0.03vs Predicted
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6Olin College of Engineering0.52-1.20vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.61+0.53vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-2.22vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+0.28vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.65-0.16vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91-2.48vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.59-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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3.13Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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4.33McGill University0.700.1%1st Place
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7.69Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
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5.03Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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4.8Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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7.53Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
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5.78University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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9.28Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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9.84Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.650.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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7.6Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 13.8% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 25.1% | 21.5% | 18.0% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Lau | 14.5% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Blagden | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 7.2% |
| Walter Chiles | 9.9% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| James Jagielski | 11.4% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Myles Hazen | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 7.6% |
| William Delong | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Jackson Harney | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 22.5% | 21.6% |
| Alexander Tucker | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 18.1% | 39.3% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 15.3% |
| Colby Green | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.