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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+2.16vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.69+2.42vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.43+2.01vs Predicted
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4Olin College of Engineering0.52+0.81vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.70-0.61vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University-0.61+1.63vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.64+0.60vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-2.21vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+0.33vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.59-2.54vs Predicted
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11Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.65-0.96vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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4.42Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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5.01Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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4.81Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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4.39McGill University0.700.1%1st Place
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7.63Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
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7.6Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
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5.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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9.33Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.46Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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10.04Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.650.0%1st Place
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8.36University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 24.0% | 21.0% | 18.7% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 12.6% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Walter Chiles | 11.3% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 10.5% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Genevieve Lau | 14.9% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Myles Hazen | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 6.1% |
| Andrew Blagden | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.7% |
| William Delong | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Jackson Harney | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 22.1% | 23.7% |
| Colby Green | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 6.1% |
| Alexander Tucker | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 41.8% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.