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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.69+3.45vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.31+1.13vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+2.87vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.70+0.35vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University-0.61+2.63vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.43-1.00vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering0.52-2.30vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+1.26vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.64-1.35vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.65-0.14vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91-2.50vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.59-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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3.13Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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5.87University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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4.35McGill University0.700.1%1st Place
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7.63Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
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5.0Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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4.7Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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9.26Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.65Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.86Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.650.0%1st Place
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8.5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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7.61Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 13.5% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 25.2% | 21.6% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Delong | 7.9% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Genevieve Lau | 12.5% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Myles Hazen | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 7.4% |
| Walter Chiles | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| James Jagielski | 13.3% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Jackson Harney | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 21.6% | 25.5% |
| Andrew Blagden | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 6.3% |
| Alexander Tucker | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 19.1% | 38.8% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 13.3% |
| Colby Green | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.