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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.69+3.48vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.52+2.80vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+2.83vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.59+3.63vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.43+0.04vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.70-1.60vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31-3.96vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-0.61-0.46vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.64-1.42vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.71vs Predicted
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11Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.65-0.97vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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4.8Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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7.63Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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5.04Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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4.4McGill University0.700.1%1st Place
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3.04Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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7.54Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
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7.58Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.29Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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10.03Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.650.0%1st Place
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8.36University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 13.8% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| James Jagielski | 10.7% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| William Delong | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Colby Green | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 7.1% |
| Walter Chiles | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Genevieve Lau | 14.3% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 27.9% | 20.7% | 17.4% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Myles Hazen | 3.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 6.4% |
| Andrew Blagden | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 5.3% |
| Jackson Harney | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 19.7% | 26.0% |
| Alexander Tucker | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 40.9% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.